Intensifying War of Words Involving Ethiopia and Eritrean Government Raises Concerns of Military Confrontation

Mounting worries are present about the chance of warfare between East African neighbors, the Ethiopian government and the Eritrean government, as aggressive discourse has intensified in recent weeks.

Red Sea coastline
Ethiopia and Eritrea cooperated in the armed struggle in Tigray but they have since fallen out.

What Did Ethiopia Declared?

Ethiopia's, being landlocked, demands for entry to the maritime outlet through Eritrea has sparked a fierce rhetorical conflict.

The Ethiopian leader initially stated publicly in the previous year that his country's access to the sea was an existential matter, remarks that Eritrean authorities dismissed.

Ties between the both governments have often been tense. Following a long-standing fight for sovereignty, the Eritrean state, which has a long sea border, formally separated from Ethiopian rule in 1993, rendering it without sea access.

In 1998, a military clash started in which numerous people lost their lives.

Latest Remarks from Ethiopian Government

Prime Minister Abiy and army chief the army commander have directly stated ownership of Eritrea's maritime facility of the port of Assab – about 60km from the frontier - and suggested the wish to capture it through military means.

In early September, the Prime Minister said the country's "blunder" of being denied passage to the sea as a because of Eritrea secession would be "rectified tomorrow".

The Ethiopian envoy to Kenya, retired Gen Bacha Debele, said that Assab was "belonging to Ethiopia" and would be given back "by force".

Eritrean Reaction to the Threats

In the face of ongoing warnings from Ethiopia, Asmara's position has been limited to short statements on X from Information Minister the minister.

He has rejected Ethiopia's demand for access to the Red Sea labeling it "risky" and a "harmful plan" of "irredentism" – a policy of reclaiming lost territory.

Government spokespeople alerted on recently that attempts to legitimise "blatant hostility" would have major implications for Ethiopia and its regional partners and is a "redline that should not be crossed|violated|breached".

Defense Preparations on the Border

So far, there are little evidence of large-scale army activities in the boundary zones between the both nations.

Nevertheless, in the country, government media has broadcast graduation ceremonies of thousands of cadets at different defense facilities.

The director of personnel division of the armed forces, General Hachalu, stated recently in an interview that the military was in a "reliable position" as "numerous of young people" were joining it, which he said was "a signal to our opponents".

Historical Origins of the Conflict

For decades from 1890, Eritrea was administered by Italian colonisers.

Following the end of Italian rule, it was then controlled by the UK forces before evolving into a federated part of Ethiopia.

However in 1962 the ruler terminated this system and Eritrea became fully incorporated into the Ethiopian state.

A three-decade long armed struggle occurred, ending with Ethiopia's defeat in 1991. Sovereignty was then endorsed by the population in a referendum in 1993.

Temporarily in the 1990s, there were good relations between the leadership in Addis Ababa and Asmara, but they disagreed over the precise positioning of their common border, leading to war in 1998.

Though this concluded in a ceasefire agreement in 2000, it was incompletely executed, and the two nations remained at loggerheads.

This situation improved in 2018, when Abiy made gestures to Eritrean President the president. The both leaders signed a declaration that the conflict was finished – a decision that gained the Prime Minister the Nobel Peace Prize.

The two governments were then partners in the country's recent armed struggle in the northern region.

However ties have subsequently deteriorated again.

Sandra Lowe
Sandra Lowe

An environmental scientist and avid hiker who shares practical guides on eco-friendly living and wilderness exploration.